Paul Jacobs’ worth plays for Saturday’s ITV races
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There are very few official numbers between the eight runners for this precious sprint prize. The view that the top handicappers are very little, if at all, behind sprinters at the graduate level was cemented by the new rating of 107 awarded to last weekend Portland Handicap winner Hurricane Ivor. With people like Tis Marvelous and the avid Atalis Bay racer set to line up, we shouldn’t be short on an end-to-end pace that will suit the hero of Town Moor.
However, returning from a break, the Queen’s runner LYNN OF THE KING look at the answer to this group three contest. You could say this gelding has been rather underwhelming since its catchy and bad luck placing seventh in the King’s Stand Stakes, but on very different ground it again made good late wins when it was placed in the Wokingham Handicap.
Those two races probably left their mark on the selection, and he appeared to run flat in the Hackwood Stakes over 6 stages here. Back to a steep 5-stage, with a good gallop from start to finish, refreshed by a two-month break and with a little ground, he took over Khaadem.
I have been a huge fan of Sam Cooke and felt that all he needed to get back to winning form was a solid rhythm right from the flag drop. He finally got that setup at Ascot last time around and while the winning margin was just a neck, I think he was just gaining the advantage. He clearly has his chance again with a higher rating of 5 pounds.
However, the return to a mile and a quarter is more of a concern and with Pivoine perhaps better on a faster surface and Dawaam (visor for the first time) apparently owned by the handicapper, I think the three-year-old boy trained by William Haggas could hold all the aces in this precious case.
ARAMAIC Couldn’t have been more impressive in York when he dismissed Peony and Co. The time figure was nothing out of the ordinary, but it did make a really good impression on the eye.
I loved the way the son of Le Havre went through this Knavesmire competition and although it seems a much tougher test he could still be treated very well with a handicap of 94. The Aramaic could have bigger fish. to whip at the back. of this turf season.
There was a time when you could guarantee the Ayr Gold Cup would take place on deep ground, but whether it was due to global warming or just the weather, things have changed a lot over the past 10 years. Despite a few scattered showers forecast, it looks like the lush grass of West Scotland will not be slower than good and might even be on the fast side of that description.
It will be music to Ed Walker’s ears as the grand ambassador, winner of the Garrowby Stakes, who is clearly at his best on a faster surface. He has acted like there is still more to come to York and the return to a big field race won’t stop him. However, a rating of 106 by far requires a better career effort and while that is entirely plausible, it was well found in the market alongside Steward’s Cup winner Commanche Falls and the other runner from Walker. , Popmaster.
There is a lot of value to be had elsewhere, however, and while the draw is once again an enigma, I will cringe in the direction of a well handicapped underdog. The charge of Paul Midgley OSTILIO Looks like his turn was just around the corner after a return to form behind Tis Marvelous in the Bullet A Sprint Stakes in Newbury – slowly and ending well from speed.
Tried up to 7 stadiums this year, this 6-stadium trip is arguably his best trip above ground. Down from 108 to 96 now, he could easily exceed his double-digit odds.
If you wanted one drawn across the runway (bottom) then the one that catches my eye is the trained Andrew Balding FIVE THOUSAND. This little-run sprinter has the mark of being trained specifically for this race, since the yard won it in 2013 and 2017. He has three lengths to find with Great Ambassador on this York form, but he lost a shoe before this. that day ran way too freely and is now 4 pounds better at weights with that rival.
All the money, and indeed all the talk of the past week, has been on the favorite Dhabab and it’s hard to pin down his credentials, despite being a below-average renewal at Mill Reef. Of course, his run in the Superlative Stakes was well and truly cemented by Native Trail in Ireland last weekend and the 6-stadium drop seems the right decision based on the connections.
But, I’m pretty soft on the claims of the Exceed and Excel colt trained by John Ryan. After two educational races in Ayr and Yarmouth, MANACCAN accelerated dramatically with silky smooth success at a newbie at Newmarket, where he easily pulled four and a half lengths ahead of Wajd.
The third has since established itself well and William Buick’s reservation bodes well for this handsome kid on the move. It is the value call on the market leader and the Gubbass formed by Richard Hannon.
5:30 p.m. The tide is turning
6:00 p.m. Maid Millie
6.30 p.m. Chocoya
7:00 p.m. Major sun ray
7:30 p.m. Broughtons Flare
8:30 p.m. Fortune Agent
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