The Score’s top horse racing tips for Monday
You know, it’s June that a three-year-old Sir Mark Prescott, with a stack of impending entries, launches halfway from a basement mark.
Yagan won his seasonal reappearance in Yarmouth nine days ago for the petty officer of Heath House from a modest note and duly defied a penalty in the follow-up to Bath on Friday night. The son of Derby winner Australia will have a short price to complete a ten-day treble at Lingfield on Monday (1.45) and, if all goes well, it seems unlikely that he will spend too much time at rest on its laurels as it did later. entries to Newbury, Yarmouth and Sandown before the end of the week.
The handicapper refused to give Yagan a handicap mark after his first three runs to a mile last year (beaten a total of 64 lengths) but relented after being then beaten a total of 22 lengths when 250- 1 for a novice mile event in Kempton in November.
An initial rating of 46 was duly exploited and who knows on which note it might end up. Revolver, with a similar profile, started last year by scoring 57 wins for Prescott and, after six successive wins, ended up being ranked 100 and clinched victory in the Doncaster Cup. The year before Land of Oz climbed the rankings from a weak start, and in 2018 Tymoshenko and Altra vita took turns taunting the assessor.
Some will frown at this pattern, but the race is generally very unpredictable – just look at those results on Epsom on Saturday – and I find something oddly reassuring about this annual event. Yagan is unlikely to be a betting proposition anytime soon, unless you like playing low odds, but I will follow his journey over the coming weeks and months with intrigue.
I have five selections for Monday, starting with another Australian offspring.
Arnold trained well at Wetherby and is expected to win at Pontefract
2.00 Leicester: Oz Legend in an 11-2 overall
Oz Legend still has a ways to go before he can match the exploits of his intelligent brother, Patrick Sarsfield, but he has made a promising start to his career.
His fourth in a hot revival of the London Gold Cup on his handicap debut at Newbury last time is worth scoring as he hung on for a long time after running at a close pace on a testing ground. This represents an easier mission on a better march.
He had previously finished a good third behind Siskany in Windsor, a short header behind Surefire. He meets this latter rival under the same conditions but, for some reason, costs double the price.
2.20 Gowran Park: Alex D to a 10-1 overall
He’s second reserve and is going to need a little luck to get in. If he does, he’ll be the one to beat. If it doesn’t, stick it in your Racing TV Tracker for another day!
The three-year-old who was trained at Ger Lyons upheld his previous promise when a young girl landed on a large field in Limerick last fall, when he was first fitted with blinders, and formed with bundles of promises in his two starts this quarter without any headgear. .
His close fifth on a top 2 pound mark in a mile handicap useful exclusively for three year olds last time at Naas reads well and he had already drawn attention with his finishing effort at Leopardstown when he was wide and desperately positioned to get home.
He would drop back to 7f here, which he wouldn’t mind, and Lyons has to believe he has more in his locker as he searches for cheeks.
3.50 Gowran Park: White Pepper overall 9-2
She’s more exposed than most but has the best form and given that she looks straightforward, her rider’s 10-pound claim will help tip the scales in her balance as well.
The near misses are starting to pile up, but her attitude doesn’t seem to be going bad and she probably ran as well as ever when she returned home to the Venice Biennale in Navan the last time around. She had Sunniyra well adrift that day and. there is no obvious reason why she will not confirm the form.
Mariesque raced with promise on his Curragh debut in November and is likely to be popular in betting, but there is nothing exciting about the form of this race.
5:30 p.m. Windsor: Highest ambition in a 17-2 overall
He offered a lot of work on his three races on the all-weather last year and, not for the first time, garnered market support on his return / loose turf debut on 6f at Nottingham on last month.
However, he was far too rambunctious and folded in the final stadium after briefly threatening to get involved. Hopefully it will be less bubbly here and I’m pretty sure 5f on better ground will show it in a better light.
This is also a lower level race and he is favorably drawn, while 3-pound contender Dylan Hogan is 2/9 when he has ridden this track for the past two seasons.
7.15 Pontefract: Arnold at 8-1 with bet365
Those of a certain age will recall that a dog named Arnold played an important role in DJ Tony Blackburn’s shows. Arnold the horse has been accused of being a bit of a hunting dog himself, but I’m willing to risk it with the odds offered.
He was in the form of a pending winner when he finished third on his return to Wetherby, although he didn’t find much of the bridle and it was the fourth time in his five last races he was beaten. running on Betfair.
What he wants is a brisk pace / steep track where the riders come back to him and it is probably no coincidence that his last two career wins were at Beverley. He also ran a massive race to finish third here at Pontefract last summer after missing the start and, with plenty of pace on the cards, that could be settled for him.
For what it’s worth, Joe Fanning, who knows his weaknesses, has straddled the winner of this race three times in the past decade by diving late.